GLOBAL SYSTEMS INSTITUTE

Publications

Global Tipping Points Report 2023

Publication ID: https://report-2023.global-tipping-points.org/

Publication date: 06/12/2023

The world has reached a pivotal moment as threats from Earth system tipping points – and progress towards positive tipping points accelerate. The Global Tipping Points Report – the most comprehensive assessment of tipping points ever conducted – says humanity is currently on a disastrous trajectory. The speed of fossil fuel phase out and growth […]

Global Carbon Budget 2023

Publication ID: pub.1166561227

Publication date: 05/12/2023

Accurate assessment of anthropogenic carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions and their redistribution among the atmosphere, ocean, and terrestrial biosphere in a changing climate is critical to better understand the global carbon cycle, support the development of climate policies, and project future climate change.

Microplastic burden in marine benthic invertebrates depends on species traits and feeding ecology within biogeographical provinces

Publication ID: pub.1166623778

Publication date: 04/12/2023

The microplastic body burden of marine animals is often assumed to reflect levels of environmental contamination, yet variations in feeding ecology and regional trait expression could also affect a species’ risk of contaminant uptake. Here, we explore the global inventory of individual microplastic body burden for invertebrate species inhabiting marine sediments across 16 biogeographic provinces. […]

The vulnerability of aging states: A survival analysis across premodern societies

Publication ID: pub.1166193058

Publication date: 20/11/2023

Humans become increasingly fragile as they age. We show that something similar may happen to states, although for states, the risk of termination levels off as they grow older, allowing some to persist for millennia. Proximate causes of their demise such as conquest, coups, earthquakes, and droughts are easy to spot and have received significant […]

The 2023 state of the climate report: Entering uncharted territory

Publication ID: pub1165161869

Publication date: 24/10/2023

Life on planet Earth is under siege. We are now in an uncharted territory. For several decades, scientists have consistently warned of a future marked by extreme climatic conditions because of escalating global temperatures caused by ongoing human activities that release harmful greenhouse gasses into the atmosphere. Unfortunately, time is up. We are seeing the […]

The momentum of the solar energy transition

Publication ID: pub.1164964246

Publication date: 17/10/2023

Decarbonisation plans across the globe require zero-carbon energy sources to be widely deployed by 2050 or 2060. Solar energy is the most widely available energy resource on Earth, and its economic attractiveness is improving fast in a cycle of increasing investments. Here we use data-driven conditional technology and economic forecasting modelling to establish which zero […]