Publications
Continuous colonization of the Atlantic coastal rain forests of South America from Amazônia
Publication date: 22/01/2025
The two main extensions of rain forest in South America are the Amazon (Amazônia) and the Atlantic rain forest (Mata Atlântica), which are separated by a wide ‘dry diagonal’ of seasonal vegetation. We used the species-rich tree genus Inga to test if Amazônia—Mata Atlântica dispersals have been clustered during specific time periods corresponding to past, humid climates.
Global Carbon Budget 2024
Publication date: 13/11/2024
Accurate assessment of anthropogenic carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions and their redistribution among the atmosphere, ocean, and terrestrial biosphere in a changing climate is critical to better understand the global carbon cycle, support the development of climate policies, and project future climate change.
Global rise in forest fire emissions linked to climate change in the extratropics
Publication date: 18/10/2024
Climate change increases fire-favorable weather in forests, but fire trends are also affected by multiple other controlling factors that are difficult to untangle. We use machine learning to systematically group forest ecoregions into 12 global forest pyromes, with each showing distinct sensitivities to climatic, human, and vegetation controls.
The 2024 state of the climate report: Perilous times on planet Earth
Publication date: 08/10/2024
We are on the brink of an irreversible climate disaster. This is a global emergency beyond any doubt. Much of the very fabric of life on Earth is imperiled. We are stepping into a critical and unpredictable new phase of the climate crisis. For many years, scientists, including a group of more than 15,000, have […]
Stranded human and produced capital in a net-zero transition
Publication date: 30/09/2024
The pace of the net-zero transition required to meet the Paris Agreement objectives puts the value of existing carbon-dependent capital at risk of premature depreciation. This risk extends beyond physical capital and threatens occupations and livelihoods. We quantify the current value and turnover timescales of existing global human and produced capital and compare the rate […]
Reduced productivity and carbon drawdown of tropical forests from ground-level ozone exposure
Publication date: 12/09/2024
Elevated ground-level ozone, a result of human activity, is known to reduce plant productivity, but its influence on tropical forests remains unclear. Here we estimate how increased ozone exposure has affected tropical-forest productivity and the global carbon cycle.
