Publications

Elevation modulates the impacts of climate change on the Brazilian Cerrado flora

Publication date: 24/03/2024

Climate change is causing species distribution to shift across the globe. Lowland taxa are moving upslope with warming, while montane species face extinction. We tested the hypothesis that elevation controls the future distribution of plant species in the Brazilian Cerrado, home of 3.5% of the Earth’s flowering plants (c. 5000 endemic species) in just 0.4% of […]

Bornean tropical forests recovering from logging at risk of regeneration failure

Publication date: 12/03/2024

Active restoration through silvicultural treatments (enrichment planting, cutting climbers and liberation thinning) is considered an important intervention in logged forests. However, its ability to enhance regeneration is key for long-term recovery of logged forests, which remains poorly understood, particularly for the production and survival of seedlings in subsequent generations. To understand the long-term impacts of […]

Emergent constraints on carbon budgets as a function of global warming

Publication ID: pub.1169265389

Publication date: 29/02/2024

Earth System Models (ESMs) continue to diagnose a wide range of carbon budgets for each level of global warming. Here, we present emergent constraints on the carbon budget as a function of global warming, which combine the available ESM historical simulations and future projections for a range of scenarios, with observational estimates of global warming […]

Climate change impacts on mesophotic regions of the Great Barrier Reef

Publication date: 28/02/2024

Climate model projections of coral reefs have solely been made using surface temperatures and failed to consider vast areas of deeper, mesophotic reefs at 30 to 50 m. We identify areas of the Great Barrier Reef where thermal stratification insulates deeper reefs from surface warming. These areas may act as genuine deep-water refuges under some […]

Migration and sustainable development

Publication ID: pub.1167765066

Publication date: 08/01/2024

To understand the implications of migration for sustainable development requires a comprehensive consideration of a range of population movements and their feedback across space and time. This Perspective reviews emerging science at the interface of migration studies, demography, and sustainability, focusing on consequences of migration flows for nature-society interactions including on societal outcomes such as […]

Tipping Points: Both problem and solution

Publication ID: pub.1167025849

Publication date: 15/12/2023

Overshooting the Paris Agreement target of limiting warming to 1.5°C is now probable, making crossing several climate tipping point thresholds likely. Triggering positive tipping points can help reach the levels of decarbonization required to minimize both overshoot time and peak warming in order to avoid triggering climate tipping points, but urgent action is needed.