Publications

Model tropical Atlantic biases underpin diminished Pacific decadal variability

Publication ID: pub.1104138082

Publication date: 21/05/2018

Keywords: Climate Models; Cooling; Decadal Variability; Pacific and Atlantic Basins; Pacific Ocean Variability; Temperature; Trade Winds; Trends; Underrepresentation; Warming

Pacific trade winds have displayed unprecedented strengthening in recent decades1. This strengthening has been associated with east Pacific sea surface cooling2 and the early twenty-first-century slowdown in global surface warming2,3, amongst a host of other substantial impacts4–9. Although some climate models produce the timing of these recently observed trends10, they all fail to produce the […]

An absolute sodium abundance for a cloud-free ‘hot Saturn’ exoplanet

Publication ID: pub.1103817433

Publication date: 07/05/2018

Keywords: Alkali Metals; Atmospheric Abundance; Cloud-free; Hot Saturn Exoplanet; Optical Transmission Spectrum; Sodium

Broad absorption signatures from alkali metals, such as the sodium (Na i) and potassium (K i) resonance doublets, have long been predicted in the optical atmospheric spectra of cloud-free irradiated gas giant exoplanets1–3. However, observations have revealed only the narrow cores of these features rather than the full pressure-broadened profiles4–6. Cloud and haze opacity at […]

Will Fire Danger Be Reduced by Using Solar Radiation Management to Limit Global Warming to 1.5 °C Compared to 2.0 °C?

Publication ID: pub.1103196840

Publication date: 20/04/2018

Keywords: Climate Change; Fire Risk; Global; Impacts; Solar Radiation Management (SRM)

The commitment to limit warming to 1.5 °C as set out in the Paris Agreement is widely regarded as ambitious and challenging. It has been proposed that reaching this target may require a number of actions, which could include some form of carbon removal or Solar Radiation Management in addition to strong emission reductions. Here […]

Evaluation of the HadGEM3-A simulations in view of detection and attribution of human influence on extreme events in Europe

Publication ID: pub.1103475514

Publication date: 19/04/2018

Keywords: Cold Spells; Europe; Event Attribution; Summer Heatwaves; Storm Surge; Weather Regimes

A detailed analysis is carried out to assess the HadGEM3-A global atmospheric model skill in simulating extreme temperatures, precipitation and storm surges in Europe in the view of their attribution to human influence. The analysis is performed based on an ensemble of 15 atmospheric simulations forced with observed sea surface temperature of the 54 year period […]

Dissolved Mn(III) in water treatment works: Prevalence and significance

Publication ID: pub.1103408281

Publication date: 17/04/2018

Keywords: Durham; England; Manganese; Mosswood WTW; Prevalence; Waste Water; Water Pollutants, Chemical; Water Purification

Dissolved Mn(III) has been identified at all stages throughout a Water Treatment Works (WTW) receiving inflow from a peaty upland catchment in NE England. Ninety percent of the influent total manganese into the WTW is particulate Mn, in the form of Mn oxide (>0.2 μm). Approximately 9% (mean value, n = 22, range of 0-100%) of the dissolved […]

Sleepwalking into lock-in? Avoiding wrongs to future people in the governance of solar radiation management research

Publication ID: pub.1101726781

Publication date: 23/03/2018

Keywords: Climate Justice; Geoengineering; Global; Intergenerational Justice; Lock-in; Precaution; Solar Radiation Management (SRM)

Arguments are advanced for two ways in which we can avoid the reckless endangerment of future people in the governance of solar radiation management (SRM) research, which could happen through lock-in to SRM deployment from research. SRM research is at an early stage, one at which the mechanisms of lock-in could start to operate. However, […]