GLOBAL SYSTEMS INSTITUTE

Publications

Hybrid models as transdisciplinary research enablers

Publication ID: pub.1131721434

Publication date: 15/10/2020

Keywords: Decision Processes; Hybrid Modelling; Interdisciplinary; Multidisciplinary; Transdisciplinary

Modelling and simulation (M&S) techniques are frequently used in Operations Research (OR) to aid decision-making. With growing complexity of systems to be modelled, an increasing number of studies now apply multiple M&S techniques or hybrid simulation (HS) to represent the underlying system of interest. A parallel but related theme of research is extending the HS […]

Co-producing research with academics and industry to create a more resilient UK water sector

Publication ID: pub.1131069514

Publication date: 22/09/2020

Keywords: Co-creation; Co-dissemination; Co-production; Engagement; Evaluation; UK; Water Sector

Societal, economic and environmental impact generated by academic research is a key focus of publicly funded research in the UK. Drawing on experiences from the Safe & SuRe project, a five-year research project that was co-produced with industry, this paper explores the challenges, learnings and benefits of co-producing research with academics and practitioners to create […]

Mindfulness and social identity: Predicting well‐being in a high‐stress environment

Publication ID: pub.1130790050

Publication date: 11/09/2020

Keywords: High-stress Environment; Kenya; Mental; Mindfulness; Predictor; Prison; Reduction in Substance Use; Resilince; Social Identity; Wellbeing

Social identity processes and mindfulness are two important predictors of well‐being. Yet, to date, these predictors have been studied independently, within separate research fields. This paper aims to provide an initial integration of these two research fields. Our research was conducted in a context characterized by multiple chronic stressors: A maximum security prison in Kenya. […]

Human contribution to the record-breaking June and July 2019 heatwaves in Western Europe

Publication ID: pub.1129111574

Publication date: 07/09/2020

Keywords: Climate Change; Extreme Event Attribution; Heat Wave; Western Europe

Two extreme heatwaves hit Western Europe in the summer of 2019, with historical records broken by more than a degree in many locations, and significant societal impacts, including excess mortality of several thousand people. The extent to which human influence has played a role in the occurrence of these events has been of large interest […]

Revised estimates of ocean-atmosphere CO2 flux are consistent with ocean carbon inventory

Publication ID: pub.1130565774

Publication date: 04/09/2020

Keywords: Carbon Budget; Carbon Inventory; Estimates; Global; Ocean-atmosphere CO2 Flux; Ocean Models; Temperature Gradients; Uptake

The ocean is a sink for ~25% of the atmospheric CO2 emitted by human activities, an amount in excess of 2 petagrams of carbon per year (PgC yr−1). Time-resolved estimates of global ocean-atmosphere CO2 flux provide an important constraint on the global carbon budget. However, previous estimates of this flux, derived from surface ocean CO2 concentrations, […]

Emergent constraints on transient climate response (TCR) and equilibrium climate sensitivity (ECS) from historical warming in CMIP5 and CMIP6 models

Publication ID: pub.1130147574

Publication date: 17/08/2020

Keywords: CMIP5 Models; CMIP6 Models; Emergent Constraints; Equilibrium Climate Sensitivity (ECS); Global; Global Warming; IPCC; Model Ensembles; Paris Targets; Signal-to-noise; Stabilisation Targets; Transient Climate Response (TCR); Uncertainty

Abstract. Climate sensitivity to CO2 remains the key uncertainty in projections of future climate change. Transient climate response (TCR) is the metric of temperature sensitivity that is most relevant to warming in the next few decades and contributes the biggest uncertainty to estimates of the carbon budgets consistent with the Paris targets. Equilibrium climate sensitivity (ECS) is […]