GLOBAL SYSTEMS INSTITUTE

Publications

Amazon tree dominance across forest strata

Publication ID: pub.1136851403

Publication date: 01/04/2021

Keywords: Amazon Forest; Biodiversity; Brazil; Forests; Humans; Trees

The forests of Amazonia are among the most biodiverse plant communities on Earth. Given the immediate threats posed by climate and land-use change, an improved understanding of how this extraordinary biodiversity is spatially organized is urgently required to develop effective conservation strategies. Most Amazonian tree species are extremely rare but a few are common across […]

A trade-off between plant and soil carbon storage under elevated CO2

Publication ID: pub.1136624227

Publication date: 24/03/2021

Keywords: Atmospheric CO2; Carbon Sink; Ecosystem; Elevated CO2 (eCO2); Global; Models; Nutrient; Plant Biomass; Projections; Soil Organic Carbon (SOC); Stock; Terrestrial Ecosystems

Terrestrial ecosystems remove about 30 per cent of the carbon dioxide (CO2) emitted by human activities each year1, yet the persistence of this carbon sink depends partly on how plant biomass and soil organic carbon (SOC) stocks respond to future increases in atmospheric CO2 (refs. 2,3). Although plant biomass often increases in elevated CO2 (eCO2) […]

Large carbon sink potential of secondary forests in the Brazilian Amazon to mitigate climate change

Publication ID: pub.1136496902

Publication date: 19/03/2021

Keywords: Algorithms; Amazon; Biomass; Brazil; Carbon; Carbon Sequestration; Climate Change; Conservation of Natural Resources; Ecosystem; Fires; Forestry; Forests; Geography; Models, Theoretical; Satellite Imagery; Trees; Tropical Climate

Tropical secondary forests sequester carbon up to 20 times faster than old-growth forests. This rate does not capture spatial regrowth patterns due to environmental and disturbance drivers. Here we quantify the influence of such drivers on the rate and spatial patterns of regrowth in the Brazilian Amazon using satellite data. Carbon sequestration rates of young […]

Record‐breaking daily rainfall in the United Kingdom and the role of anthropogenic forcings

Publication ID: pub.1136257343

Publication date: 10/03/2021

Keywords: Adaptation Planning; Anthropogenic Forcings; Attribution; Climate Change; Extremes; Human Influence; Multimodel Ensembles; Probabilities; Rainfall; UK; Variability; Warming Climate; Wettest Day

The breaking of the United Kingdom’s daily rainfall record in October 2020 made a striking addition to the list of recent heavy precipitation events in the country. Mounting evidence from attribution research suggests that such extremes become more frequent and intense in a warming climate. Although most studies consider extreme events in specific months or […]

Fossil CO2 emissions in the post-COVID-19 era

Publication ID: pub.1135873507

Publication date: 03/03/2021

Keywords: Climate Targets; CO2 Emissions; Fossil Fuel; Global; Infrastructure; Investment; Paris Agreement; Policy Choices; Post-COVID Era

Five years after the adoption of the Paris Climate Agreement, growth in global CO2 emissions has begun to falter. The pervasive disruptions from the COVID-19 pandemic have radically altered the trajectory of global CO2 emissions. Contradictory effects of the post-COVID-19 investments in fossil fuel-based infrastructure and the recent strengthening of climate targets must be addressed […]

Observed rainfall changes in the past century (19012019) over the wettest place on Earth

Publication ID: pub.1133203676

Publication date: 22/01/2021

Keywords: Cherrapunji; Climate Change; Climate Indices; Land Use and Land Cover; Mawsynram; Monsoon Rainfall; Northeast India; Rainfall Analysis; Trend Detection

Changes in rainfall affect drinking water, river and surface runoff, soil moisture, groundwater reserve, electricity generation, agriculture production and ultimately the economy of a country. Trends in rainfall, therefore, are important for examining the impact of climate change on water resources for its planning and management. Here, as analysed from 119 years of rainfall measurements […]